Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000797 0.000847 0.000898 0.000955 0.001015 0.001078 0.001149
2025-09-28 0.000717 0.000788 0.000862 0.000948 0.001044 0.001148 0.001269
2025-10-05 0.000646 0.000727 0.000817 0.000923 0.001046 0.001183 0.001348
2025-10-12 0.000599 0.000690 0.000792 0.000916 0.001063 0.001233 0.001444
2025-10-19 0.000563 0.000662 0.000774 0.000914 0.001084 0.001285 0.001542
2025-10-26 0.000536 0.000641 0.000763 0.000918 0.001110 0.001342 0.001647
2025-11-02 0.000506 0.000613 0.000741 0.000906 0.001115 0.001373 0.001719
2025-11-09 0.000474 0.000582 0.000713 0.000885 0.001107 0.001386 0.001766
2025-11-16 0.000451 0.000561 0.000696 0.000876 0.001112 0.001414 0.001835
2025-11-23 0.000435 0.000547 0.000688 0.000878 0.001130 0.001459 0.001926
2025-11-30 0.000418 0.000533 0.000677 0.000875 0.001142 0.001495 0.002006
2025-12-07 0.000404 0.000520 0.000668 0.000873 0.001155 0.001534 0.002090
2025-12-14 0.000385 0.000500 0.000650 0.000861 0.001155 0.001557 0.002157
2025-12-21 0.000368 0.000484 0.000636 0.000853 0.001160 0.001586 0.002235
2025-12-28 0.000347 0.000461 0.000612 0.000830 0.001143 0.001583 0.002265
2026-01-04 0.000334 0.000447 0.000600 0.000823 0.001148 0.001612 0.002344
2026-01-11 0.000323 0.000437 0.000592 0.000821 0.001160 0.001651 0.002439
2026-01-18 0.000314 0.000429 0.000587 0.000824 0.001179 0.001701 0.002553
2026-01-25 0.000302 0.000416 0.000574 0.000814 0.001177 0.001720 0.002618
2026-02-01 0.000288 0.000399 0.000556 0.000795 0.001162 0.001717 0.002649
2026-02-08 0.000277 0.000388 0.000545 0.000787 0.001163 0.001738 0.002719
2026-02-15 0.000271 0.000382 0.000540 0.000789 0.001178 0.001782 0.002827
2026-02-22 0.000263 0.000374 0.000533 0.000786 0.001186 0.001815 0.002921